Trump plan to end estate tax would give $53 billion break to Walton heirs: Bernie Sanders

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Campaigning for Hillary Clinton on Oct. 5, 2016 in Madison, Wis., the runner-up for the Democratic presidential nomination hit hard at the Republican nominee.

On one front, U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont attacked Donald Trump for his plan to repeal the federal estate tax, claiming the Walmart Walton family would “get a $53 billion tax break.”

Sanders was repeating a claim he had made on Medium, Twitter and elsewhere.

We found that broadly speaking, the descendants of Walmart founder Sam Walton could face a tax bill of about $53 billion that would go away if Trump’s proposal became law.

But that figure is based on estimates and without knowing the family members’ tax planning. And another Trump proposal would mean the descendants would face capital gains taxes on their inheritance perhaps in the tens of billions of dollars.

The estate tax

A few preliminary points before we dig into the Waltons’ wealth:

  • The federal estate tax, as defined by the Internal Revenue Service, is a tax “on your right to transfer property at your death.” It consists of an accounting of everything you own, or have certain interests in, at the date of death. For 2016, an estate tax return must be filed if the estate is worth roughly $5.45 million or more.
  • Trump is worth $3.7 billion, according to estimates done by Forbes for its list of the 400 wealthiest Americans, although he has claimed he’s worth $10 billion.
  • Clinton, who with Bill Clinton is worth perhaps $62 million, proposes to increase the estate tax for multimillionaires and billionaires, with rates as high as 65 percent.

The Walton family

Three times, twice on statements made by Sanders, we have rated claims that the Walton family owns more wealth than the bottom 40 percent of the American people. (Wealth being assets such as savings and retirement accounts, minus liabilities such as credit card debts and what’s unpaid on a home mortgage.)

PolitiFact National in 2012, PolitiFact Wisconsin in 2013 and PolitiFact Virginia in 2016, each arrived at a rating of True.

In those fact checks, we considered six people as being the Walton family. However, a seventh family member (Lukas Walton) joined the Forbes list in 2016. Here is their wealth, according to “real time” estimates by the Forbes 400 on the day Sanders made his claim:

Jim Walton (son): $35.1 billion
S. Robson Walton (son): $35 billion

Alice Walton (daughter): $34.9 billion

Lukas Walton (grandson): $11.2 billion
Ann Walton Kroenke (niece), $6.2 billion

Christy Walton (daughter-in-law to Sam): $5.5 billion

Nancy Walton Laurie (niece), $4.5 billion

That’s a total of more than $132 billion.

Under current law, and if the wealth estimates are accurate, that amount would be subject to a federal estate tax of 40 percent when the individuals die — roughly the $53 billion that Sanders said.

We consulted with five experts: Roberton Williams, a fellow at the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center; Howard Erlanger, a trusts and estates expert and emeritus professor at the University of Wisconsin Law School; Edward Koren, University of Miami adjunct professor in estate planning and a partner at the international law firm Holland & Knight; Texas Tech University Law School professor Gerry Beyer, who edits the Wills, Trusts & Estates Prof Blog; and Alan Viard, a tax policy scholar at the American Enterprise Institute.

According to the experts, there are at least two factors indicating that the actual tax due would be less than $53 billion — possibly much less.

1. Charitable donations

Wealthy people often designate a substantial portion of their assets to be donated to charity upon their death. Those funds are not subject to the estate tax.

Koren gave this example: If $100 billion of the total $132 billion were designated for charity, the estate tax owed would be $13 billion, not $53 billion.

It’s also possible that some assets could be shielded by tax avoidance techniques, Viard said.

2. Trump’s other proposal

In addition to proposing a repeal of the estate tax, Trump has proposed to repeal a tax rule that, if approved, would result in the Walton heirs paying more in capital gains taxes.

So, under Trump’s plan, there wouldn’t be an estate tax — under which taxes must be paid essentially right away — but an increase in capital gains taxes, which don’t have to be paid until assets are sold.

It is impossible to know exactly how much of a capital gains tax the Waltons would face under Trump’s proposed change, but it could be tens of billions of dollars.

On the other hand, unlike the estate tax, the next generation of Waltons could defer paying the capital gains tax for as long as they hold onto the assets they inherit.

Our rating

Sanders says Trump’s plan to repeal the estate tax would mean the Walton family would “get a $53 billion tax break.”

Based on the collective wealth of seven Sam Walton descendants, they could face a tax of about $53 billion under the current estate tax law. But that amount is based on estimates of their wealth and it would be reduced based on any charitable donations the family members might arrange for upon their death.

Meanwhile, Trump also proposes higher capital gains taxes, which could amount to a tax bill of tens of billions for the Walton heirs — although that tax wouldn’t be imposed until they sell assets such as Walmart stock For a claim that is partially accurate but needs more information, our rating is Half True.

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